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by Iv 5344 days ago
Actually, even correctly parametrized, any predictive model will suffer from the paradox of the oracle : if you have a "oracle" capable of anticipating the decision of an actor, and that this actor knows about the prediction, this actor can make the prediction false.

In economy, some actors have an interest in faking the prediction, even if it is costly for them : it is often valuable to be unpredictable.