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by simonh 1476 days ago
On the first three points yes absolutely. The argument that you can always pay more to get what you need fails when you literally can't pay any more. Somebody will lose out. That's what shortage means, there literally isn't enough to go around to everyone.

Now for some things that might be ok. If there's a shortage of Superyachts and not every oligarch can get one or afford one, I'm not going to loose sleep over that. But if it's housing or health care as you say yes, shortages and inflation absolutely mean some go without.

The exact same argument applies to employers hiring workers, the question is are workers like Superyachts where a shortage or inflating prices are not a problem in the grand scheme of things, or are they like houses and health care where a shortage is a serious problem.

I think it very much varies depending on the sector of the economy affected. On your fourth point, not every business is run by a billionaire getting ever wealthier. Half of employees work for small businesses, and 60% of new businesses fail in the first 3 years. The world isn't composed only of oligarchs and minimum wage workers.

Is a shortage of butlers and chauffeurs a problem? No. Their employers can pay them more or go without. Does a shortage of nurses matter? Absolutely, but most jobs are somewhere in between in importance and value to society.

Some goods and services that the poorest in society depend on are labour intensive and wages compose a high proportion of the costs. Shortages of workers in those sectors and inflating wage costs translate into higher prices that can disproportionately hurt those least able to pay more.

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Even most workers at big corporations are more like nurses and doctors than butlers and chauffeurs: the goods and services they produce ultimately go to ordinary consumers, not multi-billionaires like Jeff Bezos. The billionares get wealthier, and that wealth is measured in the same dollars as ordinary people's wages, but it's not the same thing at all. For an ordinary person, especially someone less well off living paycheck to paycheck, those dollars represent a claim on actual goods and services they can use. Bezos' wealth is mostly just the shares he owns times the last price they traded at. There is no way to transmute a chunk of Bezos' wealth in nominal value of shares into there being more income representing more ability for normal people to buy stuff that helps them live, even though both are measured in the same units. If anything it's the other way around: supplying ordinary people with more goods and services more efficiently makes his net worth go up and supplying less makes it go down. Failing to understand this lead to some really bad thinking early on in the Covid pandemic when share prices dropped and people interpreted this as proof that concern about the economic consequences of Covid measures was just wealthy people complaining that their horde of wealth was dropping.
Some good points there. I frequently see comments, even here, complaining about people like Bezos and Musk's wealth as though it was literally a pile of cash. Musk in particular has almost no cash at all, his wealth is entirely in the form of ownership stakes in his companies. The only way he could spend that is by selling those stakes and losing control of the companies.

I shed no tears for the guy, he's legit super rich, but he cannot just spend 100 $Bn. In order to bid for Twitter he had to sell a big chunk of Tesla and take loas out against a lot of his shares. Like I said, super rich, but within some real constraints.

Having said that of course he could cash out. Bezos is doing exactly that, Bill Gates still owns a chunk of Microsoft but he's sold a big part of his shares to fund his philanthropy. You absolutely can turn those valuations into real money, but only by either taking big loans against them which eventually need to be settled, or selling up.

> Some goods and services that the poorest in society depend on are labour intensive and wages compose a high proportion of the costs

As you said, "some", and you are further restricting the fraction with "the poorest in society depend on".

But the article is about "US labor shortage", in general. And the market, in general, is very heavily influenced by big players.

> Shortages of workers in those sectors and inflating wage costs translate into higher prices that can disproportionately hurt those least able to pay more.

So, what's your point?

Rising wages and inflation can't just be dismissed as a problem for the rich, because Billionaires can pay for it all. We all pay for it. In particular this is I think short sighted:

>There NO labor shortage when many big companies belong to billionaires that get wealthier every day (even during Covid). ...

The caveat after that about small companies was added in an edit after I pointed that factor out.