[simonh]

There’s no appeal to authority or need for me to know the ‘intrinsic’ value of things. It’s up to individual people what they will pay for things, or sell them for. That’s what a market is.

Short term paper pays interest because it’s issued by people who need short term money and are willing to pay for it. There’s no central authority setting its value, no objective criteria, no law of physics, just actual people choosing to pay for something they need. Same with equities, same with bonds. Same with money itself.

As I said even central governments don’t set the value of money, only it’s supply, people set its value. That’s why the currencies in Venezuela and Zimbabwe collapsed. The people selling things chose how many ZB$ they wanted to sell things for, and buyers decided how much they would pay, and it turned to be a lot because there was so much around.

Nobody needs you to keep money in a mattress. It doesn’t benefit anyone, so they won’t pay you to do it no matter how useful you think it is to you. An economy with a significantly appreciating currency is set up to incentivise not engaging in economic activity, not investing and not lending isn’t going to work very well because those incentives have to be paid by someone somehow. Why would they do that?

[dinom]

> That’s what a market is.

To win me you need to consider the difference between a free market vs. a coerced or highly regulated one; the dynamics likely change.

> even central governments don’t set the value of money

And the difference between real and nominal rates? I'd say your statement is largely true but that doesn't mean a central bank doesn't try to manipulate real rates. That's actually their charter... price stability.

However, there is a strong argument to be made that they're not very good at it and can make things worse. The last year of exceptionally high inflation is a rather obvious real-world example.

> Nobody needs you to keep money in a mattress

Maybe true, but the question isn't what do others need... it's who gets to allocate my capital? I contend it should be me, you seem to think otherwise. Why should the government actively try to de-value people's savings? Is it a good thing to squeeze elderly retirees back into the work-force?

This is what you're implying when you say "Devaluing in-the-mattress savings is a good thing". It could be a bad thing; again esp. for pensioners and people who don't have better investment opportunities.

It's not just a question of "does the theory hold water" but also one of morality. This is why I think the phrase "in-the-mattress savings" is loaded and full of hooey. It just sounds like you're telling me I'm an idiot and can't be trusted to spend my own money wisely? It's not convincing and quite insulting to boot! Lol

I believe savings is always a good thing and it's up to the individual to determine their own preference in terms of allocation; some under a mattress and maybe some in a shoebox or some short General Dynamics puts.

The point is it's up to the individual. Why should someone else have a say when they haven't been entrusted? That is the very gist. Why should someone else have a say when they haven't been entrusted?

Freedom and liberty vs. tyranny. That's it... you're going to have a hard time convincing me that financial repression is the moral high ground.

[simonh]

> Why should the government actively try to de-value people's savings? Is it a good thing to squeeze elderly retirees back into the work-force?

I don’t want to devalue their savings. I’m in my 50s and looking forward to retiring myself. I want them to have productive savings that grow and provide them with a retirement income. Savings accounts, ISAs, pension funds, stocks and bonds, even property are all productive savings that grow and can provide income in retirement. They help the economy and help savers.

> who gets to allocate my capital? I contend it should be me, you seem to think otherwise

Not at all, it should absolutely be you, we just talking about incentives. The question we’re debating is what should happen to the value of cash you keep in your pocket. Literal cash. Should it appreciate in value or depreciate? Is there a benefit to society either way?

If money itself appreciates in value that’s because someone is paying a cost for that to happen. I don’t think that’s a reasonable expectation. Beyond that, it benefits society if savings are put to economically useful purposes, such as savings accounts and investments. A small amount of inflation incentivises this.

I’m not telling anyone what to do. But on the flip side you can’t tell people what to do either. You can’t tell them what they will or won’t pay you to do, and they’re not going to pay you to keep your money in your pocket, mattress, whatever by inflating the value of cash.

Cash is a financial instrument. You own the notes, but can’t set its value. We all do that collectively, so other people have a say in it. That’s just the nature of it.

[dinom]

> I don’t want to devalue their savings.

Hallelujah! I do presume this means the /kind/ of savings or /where/ it's held is immaterial.

Sometimes I like to keep a portion of my savings as seashells in a shoe-box. But as you acknowledge...

> Not at all, it should absolutely be you,

And after all that circumlocution I was beginning to think you'd never concede. You've made my day!

[simonh]

I don't see how I can concede a point I never contested, but ok.

>> I don’t want to devalue their savings.

>Hallelujah! I do presume this means the /kind/ of savings or /where/ it's held is immaterial.

It's absolutely material, but it's their choice not mine. If they choose to invest unwisely then that can have unfortunate consequences (assuming no crime was committed, that's a different question). Can I guarantee the savings of people who unwisely invest in swamp land? No. Do you think I or anyone else should? So of course the choices people make matter, and have consequences.