[pelorat]

When we rolled over to 2020 I put down ten predictions in my calendar for where we'd be in 2030. I don't remember all of them, but I know one of them was that by 2030 we'd be in the beginning stages of AGI-like intelligence and that some of them would have begun to solve real problems for us in mathematics, physics and biology.

Some of my predictions that I wrote down:

1. There will exist an experimental commercial fusion reactor that has achieved a continuous Q>1.

2. A true quantum computer will have solved a real world problem in math's or physics.

3. We'll be at the threshold for AGI-like specialized intelligence.

4. ML & AI research will have cracked several diseases, one of them Alzheimer's.

5. We're back on the Moon with a small base.

6. Protein folding is a solved problem using ML and QC.

I'm looking forward to revisit them in 2030, but I feel like we're on the right path.