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by kirse
1491 days ago
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As long as there are well-capitalized parties that want to prop up Tether That's been my personal conclusion as well but it led me to the next question of what # is the breaking point for these well-capitalized parties? I tried looking at the size of other well-known collapses like Enron, LTCM, Lehman Bros, etc. LB reportedly had $700B in assets and liabilities before the underlying asset devaluation precipitated their cave in. Tether survived the recent de-peg due to trading shops like Alameda absorbing the free 1-5% with their cash flow, which I believe is also responsible for the recent 11% drawdown in Market Cap (I assume due to redemptions). That said I'm not really experienced enough to know how these backroom overnight liquidity issues get resolved. My hunch is given the true global reach of the crypto market Tether could easily get to $nnnB or $nT before we experience a black swan event that results in a liquidity crisis. Assuming they survive these short-term recessionary pressures, my long-term prediction is we're just setting ourselves up for another roaring '20s again, with crypto eventually learning all the same fundamental financial lessons we did back then. |
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reminiscences_of_a_Stock_Opera...