[nurettin]

I write execution systems for hedge funds. Don't have fancy quantstatistician titles.

Stock market has something called "fundamentals" which gives you insights into the real value of stocks. If a company invests $1bn to develop their business, their value will go up. Major oil producer goes to war? Crude oil futures will go up. 100% every time. It is not rocket science, and no astrology is involved.

It is what people do that turns it into a gambling machine. They try to predict tomorrow's price by looking at chicken entrails and they get cocky and confident during bull runs. This behavior is not restricted to the crypto space.