[j245]

Science can’t explain everything. It can’t tell you why the Empire State Building looks the way it does. There are other factors involved.

I’m not sure what the scientific model is based on, but it’s borderline impossible to quantify how societal views (one of the biggest factors) will evolve over time, and to account for that in the prediction.

I also “feel” the chance of overshooting is higher than 48%.