[waterlaw]

Half the population has low to no income. Manufacturing was gutted and sent overseas in an effort to integrate China into the world order.

Russia exports way more resources and has decrepit living conditions.

LNG will not make up for a fall in GDP due to supply chain, monetary or political issues.

The risks are piling up for a black swan, but it's not a collapse. Western Civilization is far from collapse, but it might be entering its long decay. That's difficult to quantify.