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by 0x12 5353 days ago
I wrote something about this in another thread. I don't think dropbox will die, and here is why:

Dropbox is only a 'feature' if you already have everything else, an operating system, and an installed base of a large number of devices.

But dropbox the product, not dropbox the feature is what exists today.

Seamless filesharing at an affordable pricepoint (including a free tier) across all devices and across all major operating systems, including linux, apple and windows. And that includes versioning and so on.

So it isn't a feature.

Don't forget that the universe of computing is far larger than any single operating system, no matter how successful, and that this will likely always be the case.

Dropbox is infrastructure, not a feature. And it's fine to run infrastructure, you can actually charge for it and people will pay. See also: toll roads, ISPs, the petroleum industry, your power company and so on.

Commoditizing the essence of storage wasn't such a bad idea at all, and to turn it into a product, not just a feature is what gives it long term viability.

Forbes being a print magazine I'd bet good money that Forbes the print edition will die long before dropbox.

Besides dropbox having about 250 million factors in the equation helping it to stay alive a little longer Forbes writing about it in two different places on one day will help dropbox just that much more. There is no such thing as bad advertising. Plenty of the Forbes visitors reading this might think, ok, dropbox is going to die, but until then this is mighty handy.

1 comments

I agree with most of what you write save the fact that Dropbox is not a feature. I use dropbox constantly to the point it is invisible to my work. My files move around without me worrying about it. From a consumer point of view (ie, non-tech) how your files synchronize doesn't matter. The fact that the files are there when you need them is what matters. In the consumer eye, Dropbox would be a feature of all their devices.
As long as enough people are willing to pay for the 'feature' I'm sure that the dropbox founders don't care too much what people call it :)