Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by blub 1511 days ago
Ukraine will take decades to recover unless they receive massive economical aid from the EU or US. Right now they say they will provide that help, but at least in the case of the EU I don’t see how that’s possible given the big economical and social problems inside the bloc. And in the US it’s not clear how the next elections will turn out and what kind of policies will be implemented.

Anyway your key point was that they’re the victors when they’re clearly not. Even if Russia completely pulled out tomorrow they’d have suffered incredible losses.

1 comments

Russian frozen reserves were what, 200 billion? Passing it to Ukraine shouldn’t strain EU or US budgets.

As for losses - in war the victor always suffers some losses. The point is: Ukraine will survive this, Russia probably won’t.

Based on media interviews with experts it doesn’t seem like the West has any legitimate claim on the money/assets and there’s a lot to untangle to make it legally possible to touch them. Even if that were to happen, the consequences would be significant.

The EU and the US could casually and arbitrarily claim the assets of any country which is involved in a random conflict not associated with either the EU or US. Nobody will like that, the former two included.

Hard to see why you keep talking about victory and which country will survive or not when the war is not over and nobody knows when or how it will end. You’re presenting personal preferences as facts.

Losers don’t have legal rights. See how nazi Germany and Japan were handled after WW2.

As for “random conflict” - this isn’t a random conflict, as evidenced by the scale of (still expanding) sanctions.

Don’t know much about Japan, but German nazis were not only subjected to trial, but some of them even got jobs in e.g the US. So losers do have rights, even literal nazis in 1945.

From the P.O.V of China, Brasil and many other countries it is a random conflict that does not affect them. Rather it’s the sanctions which they take notice of and the indirect effects of the sanctions such as food shortages, price increases, etc.

I’m not talking about Russians, the people - I’m talking about Russia, the country. There were no laws that mandated what was made to nazi Germany and Japan after the war.

From POV of China this is absolutely not a “random conflict” - it’s a war between world’s two nuclear powers. And yes, it looks like this mainly because of the successful defensive actions, but that’s just an “implementation detail”, so to speak.