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by kawaiikouhai
1516 days ago
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https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/beautiful-minds/the-rol... This is a far superior summary of the aforementioned study. It also explains how the computer-simulated experiment was conducted >All agents began the simulation with the same level of success (10 "units"). Every 6 months, individuals were exposed to a certain number of lucky events (in green) and a certain amount of unlucky events (in red). Whenever a person encountered an unlucky event, their success was reduced in half, and whenever a person encountered a lucky event, their success doubled proportional to their talent (to reflect the real-world interaction between talent and opportunity). The issue with this study I always had was how contrived an unlucky event (halves success) was. Do these parameters actually map to the real-world? If anyone with actual chops in this field could comment on this, it would certainly be very helpful. |
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