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by unethical_ban
1513 days ago
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>China is soon going to overtake the US as the world hegemony. I don't think this is guaranteed. I think the world should be prepared for it, be resilient against it, and (ideally) undermine it if possible. Six months ago, I don't think many would have guessed that all of Europe, including Germany, would unite in ending their relationship with Russian fuel. Perhaps at some point, the free world will unite in diversifying or ending their relationship with Chinese manufacturing. The rest of your analysis I agree with - the automation/"AI" process marches on. Ownership of production and capital continues to concentrate, and population grows while employment needs will shrink for non- and semi-skilled workers. Oh, and climate. |
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>I don't think this is guaranteed
This is very much assured. Only a matter of when. It may take 2-3 decades to realize but it's gonna happen if China's growth rate [0] continues as US GDP [1] steadily declines. Though with the current geopolitics around the Russia/Ukraine war, maybe China may threaten to invade Taiwan and speed up this process of dethroning US as the top super power.
[0]https://www.statista.com/statistics/263616/gross-domestic-pr...
[1]https://www.statista.com/statistics/188165/annual-gdp-growth...