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by didip 1511 days ago
And yet, the stock goes down. Market expectation is truly unpredictable. FB missed revenue expectation and went up.
2 comments

If you assume the market estimates the true value of a company, any reasonable model will have it predict a company’s value with an error that may be either too high or too low.

When a new data point comes in, the market adjusts its estimate. That can be lower than it was, certainly if its previous estimate was too high.

It seems the market expected Apple to do even better.

Because of something called P/E ratio
That has about as much to do with earnings as a coin flip. If it was entirely that everyone would just buy based on P/E. and since that’s a public number all stocks would be predictable. Instead we have TSLA at 128 P/E and AAPL at 28 P/E, MDB is at 9 P/E and was -2 a few months ago. None of that makes sense it’s purely speculation. I’ve seen stocks completely miss and fly off good guidance. And stocks beat by a lot and sell off because there is no volume.
Stocks are risk adjusted speculation, we want to think they are not, but it is simply not true.
>Because of something called P/E ratio

It is not.

It is about guidence for the next quater - Apple Posted Another Great Quarter. The Next One Might Not Be As Good. (apple themselves say)

supply chain issues