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by retrac
1513 days ago
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If there's some way to actually solve the scaling problem [1] meaningfully, it might have a chance to be more than niche. Broadly applies to Ethereum and all other existing blockchain systems too. Ethereum can handle ~25 transactions per second at the moment. Commit a namespace entry? Transaction. Send coins? Transaction. Any smart contract interactions? Transaction. The actual Web 3.0, where all our name resolution tables, and instant messaging, weekly paycheques, grocery purchases, etc. are logged on some blockchain, would need, very conservatively, tens of thousands of of transactions per second. I do not anticipate a resolution to the scaling problem any time soon [2]. But maybe they, and me, are not seeing the flaw in their argument. Should the scaling problem remain intractable, I think that the existing major blockchains have peaked. Both Ethereum [3] and Bitcoin [4] have been pinned near their maximum transactions per second for years now. Further adoption can only come by displacing some other transaction on-chain. (I'm operating on the assumption that off-chain non-blockchain handling of blockchain data is not actually blockchain for this comment. No keys, no ownership as the BTC maximalists like to say.) [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bitcoin_scalability_problem [2] https://datafinnovation.medium.com/sharding-is-also-np-compl... [3] https://etherscan.io/chart/tx [4] https://www.blockchain.com/charts/n-transactions-per-block |
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To the user, eventual UX is similar. Direct CEX on/off ramps to rollup, trading, DeFi, NFTs, smart contracts, etc. It is all "on-chain" by virtue of it being cryptographically verified on mainnet Ethereum (and, likely in less time than the finality of a single BTC transfer).