[ajross]

That's pretty much my intuition too. The iPhone is still the best device, but the smartphone market is commoditizing rapidly. Android units aren't very far behind at all and are improving rapidly. And Apple is losing market share to Android, not the reverse.

Apple is milking their success right now, because developers have iPhones and they want to support their favorite hardware. But every story like this drives off a handful of developers. And every week the simple economies look more and more favorable to the competing platform.

Really, the Apple ][ analogy is very good. That platform too ultimately killed itself not for technical reasons, but because Apple refused to give up its margins in the face of the C64 and PC markets and assumed that its stocked developer mindshare would save it. It didn't.