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by bigbillheck 1538 days ago
> "standard deviation" has a special meaning for Gaussian distributions,

I have a master's degree in statistics and this is the first I'm hearing about it.

> Our detector is 99%+-3% efficient. Obviously a detector can't be 102% efficient.

In the absence of any other context I'd guess that they're using an approximation to a confidence interval that might be perfectly fine if the estimated value was nearer the center of the allowable range.

1 comments

Well, special in two senses: First, in the canonical formula for Gaussians, sigma appears directly. For the case at hand, the confidence limits associated with 1 sigma, 2 sigma etc. in physics match exactly the area under the curve for a Gaussian integrated +- said sigma around the mean. That's were that connection actually comes from, and a physicist will always think: Within 1 sigma? That's 67%.

Hearing 99+-3% is a very strong indication that the person used an incorrect way to determine the uncertainty, most likely by taking the square-root of counts. But you are right, if the efficiency would be around 50%, that approximation is not so bad.