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by tim333 1539 days ago
Well maybe. I still think Kurzweil's roughly on track on the exponential improvement in computing per dollar which was really an observation by him and other people as to what happens than a grand theory. Some of his other predictions seem a bit wacky.

I think the most interesting one coming up is Turing Test for 2029 which is not so far off now an it's not so obvious how that'll go.