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by tedmiston 1551 days ago
Yes. See Silicon Valley, Season 2, Episode 2.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=JlwwVuSUUfc

https://www.quora.com/Silicon-Valley-Season-2-Episode-2-Runa...

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silicon_Valley_(season_2)

1 comments

I don't recall those episodes, but I would say that in real life, yes, larger companies can 'kick the tires' for a long time, costing the target immense amounts of focus/time, then walk away.

Older incumbent companies, especially, may have giant 'business development' teams who almost recreationally do deep x-rays of emerging threats/opportunities. All their staffing/trips/flirtatious-discussions/legally-drafted-non-binding-letters-of-intent may be a rounding error in their bottom line, a cheap research expense. They can go through all the motions of an acquisition, appearing serious to the hopeful founders, with a negligible interest in actually completing the deal.

I mean sure, they'd bite if they saw a can't-lose bonanza - their talks are panning for gold in your stream, before buying or even renting your land. Even if 99/100 envisioned deals eventually fall-through, they're just happy to learn all the proprietary business internals.

See also: ~pg's 'Don't Talk To Corp Dev': http://www.paulgraham.com/corpdev.html

Great write-up, and I see PG also had a separate post that overlaps with my other comment here:

"When a sufficiently high-up decision maker decides he/she wants to buy your startup, he/she will attempt to meet with you constantly and put time pressure on you, so as to prevent you from shopping the deal and getting a better offer. The absence of this behavior indicates the other company is not serious about acquiring your business."

That Silicon Valley episode and PG's Don't Talk to Corp Dev essay have a very similar takeaway. Interesting that they both came out around the same time in 2015 as well.

One counter I would make to PG's essay is: investors, whether accelerators, VCS, or otherwise, predominantly benefit from big exits... and so they have that effect of pushing towards polarized outcomes ($0 or big). But "small" exits can still be very meaningful for founders.