[pjerem]

> Self driving software seems to me like it will handle the vast majority of driving situations much better than humans could within the 5 year horizon OP is asking about.

I remember this being said as far as a decade ago, and still, Teslas from 2022 are emergency braking on the highway.

[Retric]

At scale safety is just a numbers game. A car model could be 10x as safe as human drivers and still occasionally drive directly into oncoming traffic.

Tesla isn’t anywhere close to that, but self driving cars have no reason to get worse. Systems good enough for fully self driving taxi services are already on the road and the the software is steadily getting better.

[pjerem]

I know that Tesla's FSD is already safer than human drivers. But the society is not ready for children dying because of an erroneous data point in the training model that we can't even debug, let alone fix it.