[not_math]

How can he write:

> Therefore, a recession is now inevitable.

And two paragraphs below:

> Nothing is 100% certain in the markets or the economy.

[sushibowl]

Just above the bulleted list at the top of the article:

> There seems to be a growing consensus among smart people I follow right now:

i.e. the conclusion that a recession is inevitable is not the author's own, but just an argument coming from "smart people the author follows."

[post_break]

60% of the time, it works every time.