[b_t_s]

The Tu-141 has a range of about 1000km, so presumably 2000km one way. Draw a 2000km line form Zagreb through pretty much anywhere in Ukraine and you end up a little way over the border into Russia. Seems pretty obvious what could have happened and not terribly surprising. The surprising thing to me is that it crashed in a city center vs the countryside. edit: Though the Jarun/Yarun both spelled "Ярун" theory would totally explain that.

[waffleiron]

> The Tu-141 has a range of about 1000km, so presumably 2000km one way.

1000km I've seen around refers to range of flight, not mission range, so no need to double it.

edit: Removed some speculation.

[b_t_s]

Then that would point toward a Ukrainan likely making the Ярун mistake. I suppose they'd be even more prone to not checking the country and assuming it's the one nearby/in their country.

[yodon]

Ukrainians are more prone to be aware there were two cities with similar names than Russians. By way of example, people who live in Washington State know that cities named Vancouver exist in both Canada and Washington and that you do have to be careful which one you pick even though one is much larger and better known. Washington State residents may of course still make the mistake, but they are FAR less likely to do so than someone who grew up in the Eastern US or Mexico who had no direct personal experience or awareness of the duplicate naming prior to clicking on a search result. Russian troops come from all over Russia. Ukrainian troops come from Ukraine. Proximity-based awareness of the potential for confusion will be far higher on average for the Ukrainians.