Plus China said no war during the Olympics.
Plus COVID for 2 years.....
Plus the russian asset known as the Orange Moneky lost the ellections in the US.
The view explicitly expressed by Russian planners in multiple sources signified that this is their expectation. Public announcements that Kiev will be taken in two weeks by Putin is the best source. Claims for the commonality of the three nations (Belorussian, Ukrainian and Russian) is what would cause this expectation. I am not saying it is rational to expect Kiev ti fall to several days. But I have to admit, Following the situation myself, I have had expected myself Ukraine to fold.
I follow Easter European news closely.