[MrMan]

not a military victory, almost surely, but a long-term insurrection is I guess a kind of political victory when the invaders finally leave.

[philistine]

It's already assured that when Russia controls the whole of Ukraine, it does so having suffered a severe blow to its reputation and its military forces. Aside from the nuclear weapons, I don't think anyone is scared of the might of the Russian army anymore.

They don't want it to attack them, but everyone is reassessing their fear of the Russian bear.