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by nickysielicki 1568 days ago
If they could, they would have already. The energy crisis next winter is going to be apocalyptic.
1 comments
onlyrealcuzzo 1568 days ago
We could just wear heated clothes and take the bus. That's not apocalyptic. It's still better than the vast majority of people in the world have it.
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nickysielicki 1567 days ago
> We could just wear heated clothes and take the bus. That's not apocalyptic.

Energy is everything. We effectively convert hydrocarbons to calories. We ship everything with hydrocarbons. Real costs for every good and service will blow up alongside preexisting inflation. Food shortages aren’t just an inconvenience.

Societies don’t do well when these kinds of shocks happen. It’s not enough to contextualization it against the third world. When you’ve had it good and you don’t have it good anymore, that means chaos.

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onlyrealcuzzo 1567 days ago
EU imports 30% of its oil from Russia - 39% of natural gas.

Wearing heated clothing instead of heating the indoors could cut down natural gas consumption by close to 40% - https://www.odyssee-mure.eu/publications/efficiency-by-secto....

Close to 4% of natural gas is used for cooking and heating water - which the EU could easily replace with electric using a subsidy (well worth it regardless).

The EU consumed ~379B cubic feet of natural gas in 2021. Shutting down just the German nuclear reactors is the equivalent of ~14B cubic feet = ~4% of natural gas consumption for the entire EU.

Gasoline consumption for personal (passenger) vehicles and flights uses more than 30% of the EU's oil consumption: https://www.google.com/amp/s/theconversation.com/amp/how-ele...

OPEC could easily pump enough oil, and the US & Canada ship enough LNG to replace 10% (or more) of the missing oil and gas.

It would be a major inconvenience - not an apocalypse, definitely not starvation. The EU is rich.

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onlyrealcuzzo 1567 days ago
1 shipment from Mozah LNG carrier could supply 0.055% of all Europe's natural gas needs for the year. There are 15 similar ships.

Round trip from US / Canada is less than 1 month.

(.163922÷.73×15×365÷24)÷379 = ~13.5% of Europe's natural gas consumption.

Mozah carrier 163,922 tons LNG.

1B cubic meters of NG = .73M tons LNG.

EU used 379B tons of NG in 2021.

Round trip from Germany to Canada with loading and unloading is ~24 days.

Realistically, it would probably make most sense to ship from the gulf for the US. So the travel time would be longer.

It takes 3+ years to build a container ship. There are 12 under construction in China right now - these all carry about 40% more than Mozah.

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