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by sowbug 1581 days ago
> human sentiment - a very fickle input

Ordinary accounting principles already have a concept for this: goodwill. If a business's valuation exceeds the net of its tangible assets minus liabilities, then that intangible asset is called goodwill.

Goodwill is neither a strange concept nor inapplicable to virtual currencies/assets. Instagram's value as a business entity (yes, I know it's owned by Meta) clearly exceeds the value of the source code, real estate, office furnishings, accounts receivable, etc. A competitor could duplicate everything Instagram does, but the competitor wouldn't be as valuable as Instagram. That difference in value is goodwill. In the tech industry, where we give new names to old things, we call it network effects. The Instagram network is an intangible asset that has real value, which you can't derive solely from Instagram's tangible assets. That company had to build a product and become extremely lucky that it caught on and became popular. Instagram is valuable because its users think it's valuable. If you aren't an Instagram user, you probably don't see its benefit and might have trouble understanding why it's a $XX billion business entity.

Same with successful virtual currencies and assets: they're valuable because of the network effects. Bitcoin is valuable because its users think it's valuable. That's true of any valuable network, and it's true of Bitcoin.

2 comments

> A competitor could duplicate everything Instagram does, but the competitor wouldn't be as valuable as Instagram.

You left out IP other than source code, specifically all the User Generated Content they have.

Doesn't matter. The competitor could have a (legal) real-time mirror of all the UGC, but no users would interact with it -- they'd give their likes and comments to the real Instagram. Nobody would visit the competitor's app to post new UGC, either -- people post on Instagram for the likes and comments.

The value is in the network, not the IP.

Goodwill is an accounting euphism for "losses that haven't been declared yet".