I agree with your point about fragmentation. But isn't the "Year Of The Linux Desktop" just a joke at this point? Even more so now that desktop computing is becoming less and less important to most people.
Well, we can't look forward to "Year Of The Linux Phone," because that's been around for a while now in the form of Android. Maybe "Year Of The Actual, Like, Real Linux Phone, Ugh, You Know What I Mean," though?