[arcticbull]

Why hasn't the same thing happened in Japan, which has tripled its money supply since 1990? House prices (and the price of everything else) has remained dead-ass flat. The difference is the have federal zoning rules that allow the supply of houses to meet the demand of houses.

[rcpt]

Japan price to income ratio is bad but that speaks more to horrifically low wages.

They've also been more aggressive about taxing real estate investment (they leaned their lesson in the 80s) and their zoning laws aren't captured by local busybodies.

[adam_arthur]

Japan has a declining population. Residential real estate inevitably declines with this demographic trajectory.

More housing units per person. Also Japan did not have a lot of nimby mentality blocking new housing, to my knowledge

Lower rates offsets the price reduction to a certain extent.

[CountSessine]

Japan has a declining population. Residential real estate inevitably declines with this demographic trajectory.

The Kansai region has an increasing population and real estate prices are still in decline or stable.

Also Japan did not have a lot of nimby mentality blocking new housing, to my knowledge

Yes, they did - prior to 2001 when the national government took zoning authority away from municipalities.

[adam_arthur]

FRED shows housing prices in aggregate rising in Japan

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/QJPN628BIS

If a growing region is declining, I would expect building to be outpacing growth, or a cultural trend away from wanting to own (reduction in demand for purchasing despite growing population)

[arcticbull]

All that would mean is its a market where supply >= demand. The weights on the scale aren't as relevant, IMO.