[runnerup]

> It only needs a trigger, like the Weapons of Mass Destruction in Iraq.

It’s really not the same at all. Even supposing the rest of what you said was true…all Russia needs to do is just: not invade a sovereign country.

They don’t have to prove a negative. They just have to not use their military to invade.

This isn’t an unfalsifiable causus belli like Iraqs WMDs.

[sschueller]

There are news hast currently talking about implementing sanctions already. Russia has not yet invaded but they are talking about imposing sanctions as of they did.

At this point it probably doesn't even mater if Russia invades, according to these news channels Russia will be sanctioned.

How do you find diplomatic solutions like that?

[dragonwriter]

> Russia has not yet invaded

Um, yeah, it has. (See Crimea, Donbas, etc.)

After pretty similar denials of intent to invade to those it has recently made about its intent to further invade.

That's part of the credibility problem.

[robbedpeter]

It's weird that Russia even bothers. Any human with an iq over 80 knows what Russia is planning at this point.

[caskstrength]

Can you provide sources for any preemptive sanctions towards Russia? I only know about US Republican party initiative, but it was rejected by ruling party (Democrats).

[avgDev]

It is a threat to prevent Russia from invading Ukraine. I have not seen anything that Russia will be sanctioned even if they do not invade.