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by 3pt14159 1583 days ago
I also didn't mention buying Bitcoin, which I did on credit.

People don't like hearing that the market can be beat because they don't like feeling inadequate. But it can be beat if you understand industries and physics and consumer sentiment. Bonus if you can read financials, but even some basic market indicators are good enough.

2 comments

I wonder why people who tell me this do not have a driver, private jet, and a chef, even after telling it to me for over a decade. In the biggest bull market in history.

In fact, they all still go to work for someone else.

This is spot on. Everyone who is confident and correct in their ability to consistently beat the market for decades is obscenely wealthy. The math is really straightforward. Even a paltry initial investment will compound massively over the years if it has a high ROI.

Some people do have this ability and in fact have become very wealthy, but there are many orders of magnitude more people who think they have an edge but have just had a lucky run.

> People don't like hearing that the market can be beat because they don't like feeling inadequate.

I didn't dispute the fact that the market can be beaten. There's overwhelming evidence for that (e.g. Renaissance, Berkshire). I didn't even dispute your claim that you have beaten the market. I merely asked for some evidence to back up that claim. The fact that you responded without providing any evidence makes me think you actually haven't beaten the market consistently. Perhaps you have had one or two good bets that provided spectacular returns.