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by Helmut10001
1593 days ago
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I could cite individual observations and reports, but the field is difficult to summarize in a single HN comment. There are many factors that we cannot completely oversee, primarily tipping points (disappearing reflective polar caps) and feedback loops (melt of permafrost with methane release). More concretely, have a look at the latest IPCC report [1], page SPM-16. Three of the five scenarios include temperature rises from 3 to 5 °C. Based on the last decade, the world has not reduced total CO2 emissions at all (not even slowed), despite its knowledge about climate change. Therefore, I have reason to believe that the three bad scenarios (intermediate to high CO2 emission), are more likely to happen than scenarios covering halted or little CO2 emission. [1]: https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6... |
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