[dilippkumar]

>20 - 30 year estimated wait.

From the Congressional research service's report on immigration backlog [1], for applicants from India, the projected backlogs for various employment-based green card applications applying in 2020 are:

EB-1: 8 years.

EB-2: 195 years.

EB-3: 27 years.

Projecting out to 2030, the report says (for Indian applicants):

EB-1: 18 years.

EB-2: 436 years.

EB-3: 48 years.

"20-30 years" has been wishful thinking for Indian applicants for a long time now.

[1]. https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R46291

EDIT: I was bored, so I performed a linear extrapolation using the 2020 and 2030 estimates. Two points and a straight line through them gives:

         eb-1 eb-2 eb-3
    2024 12   292  36
    2023 11   268  34
    2022 10   244  32
    2021 9    220  30
    2020 8    195  27
    2019 7    171  25
    2018 6    147  23
    2017 5    123  21
    2016 4    99   19
    2015 3    75   17
    2014 2    51   15
    2013 1    27   13

All numbers in years. The numbers are rounded up to the next highest integer. Note that a straight line through these two points isn't necessarily the correct model but whatever.

[diebeforei485]

Most people on EB-2 also qualify for EB-3, so the EB2 and EB3 numbers should be averaged out. Instead of 244 and 32 for 2022, perhaps it should be ~140 for each column. Not that it matters, of course.

[BhavdeepSethi]

These numbers are probably off because USCIS wasn't processing any GC during the pandemic. As of now, EB-1 is current and EB-2 is 10 years.

[dilippkumar]

These numbers were estimates made from before the pandemic. If anything, the pandemic cut a few years of waiting as unused family slots rolled over into employment based slots.

EB-2 is definitely not a 10 year wait.

[coconoco]

What the difference between ev-1, 2 and 3?