[simpleguitar]

It doesn't even have to be average human.

Let's say AI only gets to 10% (or 20% or 30% or whatever, it doesn't really matter), that's a huge number of jobs being lost.

Imagine having a machine write all the "simple/boring" code for you. Your productivity will go through the roof. The smartest programmer who can most effectively leverage the machine could replace many hundreds of programmers.

I should brush up on my plumbing and apply for a plumbing license soon. (I think plumbing is safer than electricians, because many CS people have good EE foundations).