Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by hattmall 1605 days ago
That's not really how it was initially portrayed entirely. There were lots of estimates all over the place that said X amount of deaths in 6 months with lockdowns, and X amount with out, and things like staying home 2 weeks vs 3 weeks will save X many lives.

It's my understanding that there are STILL places with some sort of lockdown going on.

The effect of lockdowns is particularly difficult to quantify though because the results seem to have been mostly the same in my area which had no lockdowns / restrictions / masking after May 1 2020 and some other places which have had all manner of restrictions and some people are even still wearing masks nearly two years later.

There are really so many variables and variable outcomes. It's really kind of a dream scenario for a data scientist because I don't know that there has ever been such a large push to make statistical information available. Their needs to be some sort of gauge / metric to quantify the level of restrictions and also look at the externalities of those.

1 comments

> That's not really how it was initially portrayed entirely

What did you think "bend the curve" meant, exactly? But that was the mantra when these measures were instituted.