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by cameldrv 1611 days ago
The page you linked to estimates 51,646 deaths from flu in 2017-2018, not 150k. Again it is obvious that your reasoning is motivated, and even with the motivated reasoning you still have to change the data to make your point.

Anyhow, the original claim was "The current death rate of COVID in the US is about what a bad flu season would be." This is obviously wildly false.

1 comments

I'm sorry have you actually read my reasoning for making this small change and the following argument where the results without even this additional multiplicative are discussed?

I don't know who has educated you in the field of mathemetics but I'd maybe go speak with them about comparing orders of magnitude and the number 8, I'm too tired...

I've presented to you good reasons for these numbers, not biases, but scientific logically consistent reasoning. You've glanced and cherry-picked. There isn't a conversation happening here so I'll leave you be.

Frankly I tire, you can proceed to profess to lecture me on my reasoning, my biases and how if infers the way I obviously vote politically all you like, I'm done.

No you can’t just triple the estimated flu deaths just because. Come on. The claim as stated is false.
Stop being facetious. I offered solid based on fact reasoning and presented results even with this removed from the starting assumptions and the difference in the end being it's between 2 and 8 times worse. aka an order of magnitude which is how much seasonal flu's tend to vary with their impact.