[mFixman]

AGI seems hard because each year more and more problems that were previously considered close to AGI are solved.

Playing Chess at a grandmaster level was considered something only a human could do until the 1990s, and now no human has beat the best computer in 17 years while AGI seems further away than ever.

Mark my words: we'll create an AI that can pass the Turing test this decade, but we'll still be as far away from the badly defined general problem as we ever were.

[lostmsu]

The chess example is not that strong: "the best computer" or more precisely the software that beats humans since 1990s was actually specifically designed to beat chess. That was the case until AlphaZero did the same in 2017 for the whole class of turn based games.

[lostmsu]

To add to that, it is quite possible that AlphaZero is already a general intelligence. Specifically, it may be that given some robotic manipulation, and some goals in real world, and lots and lots of tries (tens or hundreds of millions) it may beat an average human in "life".