|
|
|
|
|
|
by jurjenh
5384 days ago
|
|
|
Or even better, compare it to a butterfly flapping its wings (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Butterfly_effect) as this kind of comparison is sensitive to so many different factors you can't take any conclusions too seriously. Still, not a bad yardstick to see how far we've come with respect to computing power per watt - maybe this is why the rate of change is increasing more than exponentially - you have multiple exponential rates converging in a positive feedback system... |
|
|
Doesn't seem so. Classic Moore : 7h (25200s) / 2.5s ~= 2^14 that places us in - 1.5 years for a power of 2 - 1990.
>more than exponentially - you have multiple exponential rates converging in a positive feedback system...
not really. The system as whole improves with the same exponential rate precisely because all and each of its components improves with the same exponential rate. Exponential rate of CPU and exponential rate of RAM produce the same one exponential rate of the improvement of the whole system comprised of the CPU and the RAM. Exponential rate of the CPU only, for example, would result in much less than the exponential rate for the whole system.