[easygenes]

Yeah, I think "hot take" [1] is the analytic analogue to expressions like "by the seat of the pants," [2] meaning something like: A rushed, likely emotional, reaction to something with no or minimal follow-up research or analysis.

  1: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hot_take
  2: https://writingexplained.org/idiom-dictionary/fly-by-the-seat-of-your-pants

[duskwuff]

Not precisely. What makes a "take" hot is its provocative or controversial nature. It's not quite flamebait -- that implies more of a deliberate attempt to sow discord -- but it's along the same lines.