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by nanis 1620 days ago
> How are you calculating those odds?

I truly have no idea what the answer is, but as someone well versed in economics, econometrics,and statistics, to me the relevant odds are not about independent coin tosses etc. I would like to know P(A|B) where:

A: sequence of 30 nucleotides appears in a virus identified in nature

B: sequence appears in a patent application that predates discovery in nature

Seems to me that would involve a whole bunch of arithmetic, but that ought to be calculable using this database.