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by tristor 1613 days ago
> Any epidemiological connections to WIV? There aren't any

I am neither a geneticist nor an epidemiologist, however my understanding is that as further tracing of early cases has occurred that the earliest cases identified were employees of the WIV and predate the case cluster that started in the wet market. This was one of the strongest pieces of information that swayed me towards believing a lab leak was likely, and that it was most likely accidental rather than purposeful.

1 comments

That’s not true — again showing the problems with headlines like these.. (drive by viewers integrate the headline into their understanding even though the actual article is very light on information).

Nearly every early case — before there could have been “pressure” to hide the origins was connected to the market:

https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abm4454

This alone doesn’t disprove a lab leak of course, but it tilts the odds dramatically compared to the alternate scenario where WIV employees were among the first infected.