It's not about the risk of your aircraft. It's the risk to your aircraft. In an actual emergency involving airspace violation, anything in the sky becomes a potential threat for interception.
Exactly. If you're potentially activating missile defenses, you probably want all civilian air traffic out of the sky. For their own sake.
Give the timing, uncertainty, countermeasures, and consequences of not intercepting... "Your flight leaves 30 minutes later" is a small price to pay vs "Passenger airliner shot down."
Airliners carry less than 1,000 people. Usually a lot less.
Nukemap says 10kt on downtown LA would result in about 71,000 immediate casualties.
Would you want to be in the air when someone at NORAD has to make a call on something that may or may not be a passenger airliner?
Give the timing, uncertainty, countermeasures, and consequences of not intercepting... "Your flight leaves 30 minutes later" is a small price to pay vs "Passenger airliner shot down."
Airliners carry less than 1,000 people. Usually a lot less.
Nukemap says 10kt on downtown LA would result in about 71,000 immediate casualties.
Would you want to be in the air when someone at NORAD has to make a call on something that may or may not be a passenger airliner?