[vkou]

> look at data for iceland, 92% of the adult population and spread is mainly among the double vaccinated.

If getting vaccinated reduced your odds of spreading the virus by 90%, and 92% of the population were double-vaccinated, then the majority of the spread would be...

Among, and by the double-vaccinated. (8.28% vs 8%)

Most people that die in car crashes are wearing seatbelts, but you'd be a fool to not wear one. Just like you'd be foolish to not get vaccinated.

[yorwba]

> If getting vaccinated reduced your odds of spreading the virus by 90%, and 92% of the population were double-vaccinated, then the majority of the spread would be...

> Among, and by the double-vaccinated. (8.28% vs 8%)

I don't know how you're getting those numbers.

If baseline spread is 100% unvaccinated spreading to 100% unvaccinated, then 92% vaccinated spreading 10% to 92% vaccinated amounts to 8.464% of baseline, 92% vaccinated spreading 10% to 8% unvaccinated is 0.736% of baseline, 8% unvaccinated spreading to 92% vaccinated is 7.36% of baseline and 8% unvaccinated spreading to 8% unvaccinated is 0.64% of baseline. The total sums to 17.2% of baseline, of which vaccinated to vaccinated spread amounts to 49.2%.

(It's not terribly important since the numbers are made-up anyway, but I'd like to know whether I made a mistake somewhere.)

[jusssi]

> Most people that die in car crashes are wearing seatbelts

Funny enough, I just recently checked the stats for that. According to the first report I found with a simple googling, 47% of people who died in car crashes were not wearing seat belts.

[weaksauce]

yeah, because the number of people getting into car accidents and surviving is much, much greater with those that wear seatbelts where if you don't wear one it's a high probability it's not survivable.