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by dwaltrip 1630 days ago
For crying out loud… Go look up the frickin statistics. The vaccines are very effective.
1 comments

Really?

See https://vinayprasadmdmph.substack.com/p/vaccine-effectivenes...

Those "frickin" statistics? Or which ones?

From own your link:

> [The] vaccines likely (and evidence shows they) still have great protection against severe disease; …

This exactly what we were talking about above.

Like 15% effective, after 2 jabs, for me personally?
On a personal level it's gonna be either 100% or 0%. You either got severe disease, or you didn't.

You can't extrapolate a population-level percentage from a single data point. Luckily, we've got information on hundreds of thousands of deaths, millions of hospitalizations, and billions of shots.

That doesn't make any sense. If the immune response didn't wane on a personal level we wouldn't be needing any boosters.
You can't get 15% of a case of severe COVID. At a personal level, the vaccine either worked at preventing it, or it didn't. We can compute a population-level probability of those two scenarios for you, but you can't really say "15% effective, after 2 jabs, for me personally".