[DenisM]

No need to insult my sincerity, the HN guidelines are perfectly clear - assume good faith. If you can’t just don’t reply at all, no need to trash the venue.

Back to the topic at hand, you maybe right about what the death certificate says, but I am more concerned with what counts as a covid death in statistics. The CDC is pretty clear about that - any death where covid contributed is a covid death. Getting hit by a truck won’t count, but pneumonia certainly will. It seems that any cause of death that could come from covid is counted as covid death as long as the deceased was infected.

Coronavirus disease deaths are identified using the ICD–10 code U07.1. Deaths are coded to U07.1 when coronavirus disease 2019 or COVID-19 are reported as a cause that contributed to death on the death certificate.

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/tech_notes.htm

Likewise I would expect death from vaccine to be, statistically speaking, any death by a vaccine-related cause within two weeks of being vaccinated. Perhaps my expectations are wrong, but they are certainly not unreasonable.

[jacquesm]

Apologies for not taking you 100% serious at first, but I did make an attempt at answering your question. There are a lot of people that ask questions like that just to make fog, rather than to serve as an actual discussion point, forgive me for lumping you in with them, it has happened too often as of late to not wonder about these things.

Your expectations are very unreasonable. With a vaccine drive hitting 100's of millions of people in a very short time and with on average thousands of people normally dying of other causes, the assumption should be that some people that are vaccinated will die of natural causes within a reasonably short time.

After all, those causes don't suddenly go away within two weeks of being vaccinated. Some percentage of those people would have died anyway within those two weeks. The vaccine drive was spread out quite a bit but even so you can rest assured that any deaths that are even remotely suspicious (say, not a car accident, or someone falling to their death) are going to be looked at for patterns that lie outside the statistical expectations. Nobody would benefit from an unsafe vaccine, witness the care around AZ and Janssen when there was suspicion that these vaccines may cause disproportionate side effects.

So only excess deaths from COVID and excess deaths from vaccinations (which is a vanishingly small number utterly dwarfed by the COVID related deaths) should be counted, not the normal ones.

Base rates for a number of causes of death to give you an idea:

https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/rHNYs/10/