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by danuker
1639 days ago
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But I believe everything should be valued this way, including: - stocks and real estate: people use "objective" metrics like discounting cash flow. But the time preference for discounting cash is subjective. - precious metals and commodities: there are "objective" stock-to-flow metrics, but they all assume people will still desire precious metals, commodities, and the resulting products. This desire is subjective. |
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Discounted cash flows, etc, are all ways people use to come to their ‘subjective’ conclusions.
It ends up being circular though - yes, human judgement is ultimately part of the equation, but that judgment end up being based on a prediction of future value, and often we can use understanding of markets or the intrinsic value of commodities to industrial processes to assess this.
Many people are arguing that the value of NFTs is in fact not based on an intrinsic value to future processes, and is purely a subjective bubble.
Arguing that all valuations have a component of human judgement and that people may just continue to like NFTs is not a counterargument.
A counterargument would be to explain how that will continue to be valuable independent of the subjective component.
Generally people seem to dodge this, and instead just say ‘everything is subjective’, i.e. the postmodern view.