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by derbOac 1655 days ago
So, here's the worldwide cumulative prevalence of COVID:

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cumulative-covid-cases-re...

Assuming a world population of 7.75 billion, that puts the estimated prevalence at about 3.5%.

However, that's using confirmed cases. Estimates of actual cases would put it at 4-10 times higher (https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/burd... or https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2021/02/06/9645278...).

So that puts it at 14-35%, right around 25%.

Although that's over the last 21 months or so, it means you're more likely than not going to be infected with it in the next few years.

1 comments

Keep in mind that boosters are now considered only good for 6 months, so depending on your definition of “the next few years”, you may be exposed to many times more spike protein load via the vaccine route.

Anyways, I have no horse in this race, but I did notice some unusual chest tightness after my 3rd shot very recently - nothing serious though. I’m completely stress-free in life, so it’s not anxiety. Things have been great for me.