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by xyzzy21 1655 days ago
The thing is the time-constants of atmospheric green house gases are in the centuries so you can't change any of it quickly. To Wit: if the deadline is 2035 or 2050, we are all already dead if such predictions were true (they are NOT).

On the other hand, a lot of the hype about global warming is bullshit. The presumptions often require that you believe that all Bangledeshis will quietly remain at their current latitude and longitude waiting for the water to rise about them. That's clearly not realistic but most of the numbers of "deaths caused by global warming" are based on EXACTLY such facile and stupid modeling assumptions.

It's like the people making such numbers know NOTHING about human behavior (and it's all too likely they actually do NOT).

I have zero concerns about humanity surviving. We are agile and adaptive. Will it be MY PERSONAL gene line? Don't know. Will it be the majority of gene lines from currently alive people surviving? Probably not but that's not unique to global warming. Add a World War or a comet and the same is true and probably worse.

Of course, I'm a hard ass on numbers and traceable causality and frankly that has not been provided. Just ask about CO2 levels before all the graphs typically trotted out! Pre-Eocene, CO2 levels were 4x-10x higher than today. Crickets on that.

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V21/sep/Davis2017b.jpg

You can not generalize or make predictions based data from only the last 200 years and ignore 500 MY of data!

1 comments

Ok but a significant percentage of the world being displaced by global warming, either because their country literally drops below the sea or that part of the world no longer supporting agriculture/ human life, will lead to deaths right? Either through war or those people being trapped because the parts of the world that are still habitable won't be willing/able to take in the huge flows of refugees.