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by jordo
1662 days ago
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We flipped a coin, and it ended up being heads (just us), meh... Nothing more to it: https://arxiv.org/pdf/1806.02404.pdf I believe the TLDR of that is, if you monte carlo the drake equation, and account for the uncertainty of the error margins, you don't really end up with much of a paradox. |
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In that model a randomly sampled universe is relatively young, resulting in probability that you are born in that universe very high, which in turn results in high probability of being the early civilisation in that universe.
But more down to earth, is just looking at how intelligence evolved on earth. The intelligence evolved on top of the primitive survival mechanism. Mechanisms that promote violence and cheating. Those are keeping us back like a chain and ball from evolving as a civilisation, as a matter of fact we already nearly wiped ourselves few times. We are at the brink or civilisation collapse due to global warming and yet do almost nothing about it.
If we are average civilisation then those are short lived violent affairs that tear themselves to pieces before they can self sustain, or make any impact on the universe to be noticed by others.