[more_corn]

I don't think AGI is likely, I think it is inevitable. We can make specialized neural networks that can do specific tasks quite well. There's nothing stopping us from chaining those together. We have the pieces to make neural networks that can train on new data, thus creating new layers atop previous networks. We can even train those layers based on the data generated by the action of the network itself. The pieces seem to be present, the tooling around putting them together seems to be lacking for the time being. I expect to see AGI in my lifetime, artificial super intelligence shortly thereafter and then the event horizon of the singularity.