[akiselev]

> Is it just me or does the future he paints sound absolutely abysmal?

That's how I know it's an realistic and mostly unbiased prediction that's relatively accurate: it looks kinda like today, except more of it. Barring a black swan event that drastically changes our system of values and incentives, that's probably how it's going to play out. We just had a black swan play out and... it's all the same, just six feet more of it.

Most social revolutions either up reshuffling the deck or in disaster. The low hanging fruit in most technological fields has been picked and "priced in" during decades past.

Hope for the best, expect the worst.

[jdkee]

If you are referring to the pandemic, that is by definition not a black swan event as it was expected to occur at some point.

[snidane]

The disease is not a black swan. The global reaction to it certainly is.