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by angelzen 1684 days ago
Generally speaking, under 50 populations survive covid fairly well. Under 18 survive almost perfectly, with a higher survivability rate than drowning. Therein lies the problem: we expose the young(er) populations to a black swan event.

Please spend a few minutes to refresh on the data. Some nice dashboards from Singapore (ongoing delta wave), but also e.g. King County, WA (Seattle) shows similar data, though you have to drill down a bit (Demographics tab, then Deaths metric). For example in the past 30 days a total 12 deaths in the under 50 population, for a total of 10% of total covid deaths. Or, since the pandemic started, a death rate of 22/100k or less in all age groups <50, going as low as 0-3/100k for under 30s.

This is not to say that people, especially the elderly, should not get vaccinated if they choose so. It is only a reminder that there is a perception problem around covid and that the long term risk calculus is more complicated.

https://www.moh.gov.sg/covid-19/statistics

https://kingcounty.gov/depts/health/covid-19/data/daily-summ...